Standard Chartered Raises Ethereum Price Forecast to $7,500 by Year-End 2025
In a notable update for cryptocurrency investors, Standard Chartered has revised its base-case forecast for Ethereum (ETH/USD), projecting a price of $7,500 by the end of 2025. This adjustment is primarily attributed to the increasing demand from exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and a surge in on-chain activity, indicating a robust market sentiment surrounding the digital asset.
Geoff Kendrick, the head of FX Research West and Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered, elaborated on this optimistic outlook in a recent note to clients. He stated,
“We think Ethereum will continue to benefit from the positive feedback loop between price, on-chain activity, and investor inflows.”
This sentiment reflects the bank’s belief that Ethereum’s growth trajectory is supported by institutional investment and user engagement.
The revised forecast comes shortly after the bank outlined a more aggressive bull case scenario, estimating potential prices between $8,000 and $9,000. However, these figures are now framed as upside potential rather than the central scenario. The recent bullish trend is underscored by substantial inflows into spot Ethereum ETFs, with data from SoSo Value indicating that on August 12, 2025, these funds experienced net inflows exceeding $524 million. This marked six consecutive days of positive gains, with BlackRock’s ETHA ETF contributing a significant $319 million to the total.
Standard Chartered projects that by the end of 2025, ETF holdings could reach between 2.39 million and 9.15 million ETH, which would represent approximately 2% to 8% of the circulating supply. Such accumulation could potentially tighten market liquidity, amplifying price movements, especially when coupled with staking activities. Kendrick noted the possibility of a “super-squeeze” if ETF inflows combine with staking to significantly reduce the supply of Ethereum available in the market.
As Ethereum’s price approaches its all-time high of around $4,878 reached in November 2021, the cryptocurrency’s broader application across decentralized finance (DeFi), tokenization, and smart contracts is expected to enhance its appeal. Kendrick emphasized,
“Ethereum’s broader use case set supports a higher ETH/BTC price ratio.”
This outlook positions Ethereum favorably against Bitcoin (BTC/USD) over the next 18 months.
While the bank maintains a base-case price target of $7,500, it also acknowledges that several factors could influence Ethereum’s price trajectory. Factors such as stronger-than-anticipated ETF inflows, favorable macroeconomic conditions, and increased adoption of the Ethereum network could drive prices higher. Conversely, weaker inflows or adverse macro conditions might limit the asset’s upside potential.
As investors navigate the evolving cryptocurrency landscape, Standard Chartered reiterates the importance of monitoring the interplay between price dynamics, on-chain activity, and investor sentiment. This holistic understanding may provide valuable insights for those looking to capitalize on Ethereum’s potential in the coming years.
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